Blood Adv. 2023 Jul 28. pii: bloodadvances.2023010312. [Epub ahead of print]
Several clinical and genetic factors impact on overall survival (OS) in myelodysplastic neoplasms (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML), including complex karyotype (CK), TP53 allelic state and blast count. We analysed the interplay of these factors by performing Cox regression analysis and by determining the frequency of TP53 single hit (sh) and double hit (dh) events and OS in MDS (n=747) with <5% blasts, ≥5%,<10% blasts, ≥10%,<20% blasts and in AML (n=772). MDS<5% blasts showed the best outcome, followed by MDS≥5%,<10% blasts, MDS≥10%,<20% blasts and AML (median OS, 75, 54, 27, 18 months, respectively). The same hierarchy was observed when each subgroup was divided into TP53sh, TP53dh and without TP53 alterations (alt), revealing a dismal outcome of TP53dh in all subgroups (17, 10, 8, 1 month). MDS<5% blasts differed from the other subgroups by showing predominantly TP53sh (76% of TP53alt cases), and by an independent adverse impact of CK on OS (HR=5.2, p<0.001). The remaining subgroups displayed many similarities, as TP53dh was found at high frequencies (67%, 91%, 71%, respectively) and only TP53alt but not CK independently influenced OS, TP53dh showing the strongest influence. When the total cohort was split according to TP53 state, only the blast count and not CK had an independent adverse impact on OS in all subgroups. Thus, TP53dh is the strongest prognostic factor, further supporting its integration into risk stratification guidelines and classification as separate entity. However, also the blast count influences OS independent of TP53 state, whereas CK plays a minor prognostic role.