J Thorac Oncol. 2023 Feb 10. pii: S1556-0864(23)00125-9. [Epub ahead of print]
Junjie Huang,
Sze Chai Chan,
Wing Sze Pang,
Shui Hang Chow,
Veeleah Lok,
Lin Zhang,
Xu Lin,
Don Eliseo Lucero-Prisno,
Wanghong Xu,
Zhi-Jie Zheng,
Edmar Elcarte,
Mellissa Withers,
Martin Cs Wong.
INTRODUCTION: Mesothelioma is an uncommon type of cancer which has received little attention. This study aims to evaluate the global disease burden, trends of mesothelioma by age, sex and geographical locations, and investigate its risk factors on the population level.
METHODS: Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN), Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus (CI5 Plus), Global Burden of Disease (GBD) were accessed for mesothelioma incidence and its risk factors worldwide. The associations between mesothelioma incidence and asbestos were examined for each country by multivariable linear regression analysis by sex and age. Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression to examine epidemiological trends of mesothelioma.
RESULTS: The age-standardised rate of mesothelioma was 0.30 per 100,000 persons with Northern Europe reporting the highest incidence rates. The incidence rate of the male population was much higher than females. Countries with higher HDI (β=0.119, CI 0.073 to 0.166, p<0.001), GDP per capita (β=0.133, CI 0.106 to 0.161, p<0.001), and asbestos exposure (β=0.087, CI 0.073 to 0.102, p<0.001; Figure) had higher mesothelioma. The overall trend of mesothelioma incidence was decreasing although an increase was observed in Bulgaria (AAPC: 5.56, 95% CI: 2.94 to 8.24, p=0.001) and Korea (AAPC: 3.24, 95% CI 0.08 to 6.49, p=0.045).
CONCLUSION: There was a significant declining incidence trend of mesothelioma for the past decade possibly related to the restriction of the use of asbestos in some countries. Meanwhile, the increasing trend in mesothelioma incidence observed in females might be indicative of an increase in environmental exposure to mineral fibres.
Keywords: incidence; mesothelioma; risk factors; temporal trend