Clin Transl Oncol. 2026 Jun 04.
BACKGROUND: Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide, characterized by insidious early symptoms, late clinical presentation, and poor overall survival (OS). DNA methylation, a key epigenetic modulator, plays a pivotal role in tumorigenesis and represents a promising biomarker for early detection and prognosis due to its high specificity, technical stability, and non-invasive accessibility.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to systematically identify diagnostic and prognostic DNA methylation signatures in EC by integrating methylome, transcriptome, and clinical data, and to evaluate their potential clinical utility for early diagnosis and prognosis prediction.
METHODS: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and differentially methylated sites (DMSs) were identified using the R limma package. Univariate Cox regression analysis was applied to screen DEGs and DMSs significantly associated with OS (p < 0.05). An interaction network was constructed, and hub methylation sites were prioritized based on degree centrality. Multivariable logistic regression was employed to develop a diagnostic signature. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest, and multivariable Cox regression were sequentially applied to build a prognostic signature. Predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
RESULTS: A total of 7,683 DEGs (adjusted p < 0.05, |log2fold-change (FC)|> 1) and 29,122 DMSs (adjusted p < 0.001) were identified. Among these, 891 DMSs and 270 DEGs were significantly associated with OS (p < 0.05), and the top 30 hub DNA methylation sites were prioritized. A 2-CpG diagnostic model (cg03850256 and cg11394785) achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.994, demonstrating excellent diagnostic accuracy. A 4-CpG prognostic signature (cg05768047, cg22724943, cg08363794, and cg10405610) showed robust predictive performance for survival outcomes (AUC: 0.821).
CONCLUSION: We constructed and validated accurate methylation-based classifiers for early diagnosis and risk stratification of EC patients. These findings provide novel insights and candidate biomarkers for precise management of EC and lay the foundation for developing DNA methylation-based screening and prognostic tools.
Keywords: Biomarker; DNA methylation; Diagnosis; Esophageal cancer; Prognosis; Systems biology